i'm not quite with the nhc yet. slightly different take. with t.d. 1, the low is tightening up, and the system should deepen today. as it does the deeper flow, which is out of the northeast as long as it hangs south of the weak mid-layer ridge, should keep it trapped east of georgia. perhaps a sea-breeze front/onshore banding will drag it even closer. probably not going to move much between now and midnight. overnight think it will nudge up to the s.c. coast, probably near st. helena island. as far as intensity goes, mid-level air isn't particularly moist feeding in.. unless the center continues to drift into the deep convection it will intensify very slowly.
elsewhere 90L looking sloppy as usual, now getting close to northern mexico. development now quite doubtful.
91L not as good looking today. convection weakening in the ocean of dry air in east of the islands. it will struggle until it slows down. has some, but needs to get down below 20mph.
next potential invest is the upper energy with weak surface trough dropping sw-ward under the atlantic ridge near 24/52. upper ridging with fairly moist air content a day or two ahead.. with the existing atmospheric torque it will have to be watched for surface development.
1503z01august