Definitely lining up Joe B vs. NHC on this one. They have it heading ENE and turning more NE. He sees a pressure trof and the change for Alex to come up west of Hatteras and bring Hurricane conditions to the Outer Banks. It's not definite, but he's been jumping up and down since yesterday when they classified the system with a pressure rise, failed to adjust the windspeed with a 6mb pressure drop and now that they have it down to 993. So he's calling for Cat 1 conditions as almost likely on the islands (with an outside shot for Cat 2) while they're calling for a track farther east of there. His reasoning, possible pressure of 980-970 over or just west of Hatteras based on the way the bands are setting up and then the shortwave in the TN Valley moving SE of Alex. After NC, it's out to sea.

So the lines are drawn in the sand. Either could be wrong or both may be close. But when there is competition, the consumer gets a better idea of reality IMHO.