summercyclone
(Weather Hobbyist)
Mon Aug 02 2004 05:22 PM
Re: 91L....

Hate to be the naysayer...91L looks a bit ragged to me, still sorta skeletal....may be undergoing what I call the 'transition' from wave to td, sometimes they 'flare down' at that point....technically, it probably is a td, but, I don't see it as a sure thing yet, same for the system behind it.

Almost certain Alex is, or will be a hurricane. TS's can develop eyes, have seen that down as far as 50 mph a few years ago, Alex is probably up to about 65-70 mph now...twt, looks likely he will be Hurricane #1. And in the spot I expected the first storm to form too..although that was two months ago...:) And doesnt seem to be a in a hurry to go anywhere...so far...

sc



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