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new models for 91l are out. Haven't looked at them yet, but I do see a split on the intensity after 96 hrs. SHIP has 66kts and DSHP has 40 kts-down from 60/60 at 72 hrs. A98E-at 120 hrs is for 23.5N/ 74.9W. A quick calculation gives an average of 23.125N/ 72.675W. Not scientific at all but gives a target window. http://www.srh.noaa.gov/productview.php?pil=WBCCHGHUR |