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Well as others have already suggested this doesn't appear to be a TD, but more of a wave then anything. Quickscat doesn't suggest a closed circulation. IR goes along with that theme of it being more of a wave with no LLC as showers and thunderstorms are spread into a more north to south line. But still give this a 60-70% of developing as foward speed decreases once it passes the islands. All in all expect this to likely be downgraded some time today (before or after recon flight). |