Tossed mine in there too.

I'm thinking the trough, instead of clearing the storm away from the US, does a half-hearted job and leaves us with a developing TS south , and maybe just east, of FL. It won't do any harm to development by slowing it down, and will prop. give it a chance to exhale some as well. Try to think of the trof as a positive thing, if you want to see this become Bonnie. I don't think shear plays any part in this yet, unless she starts going 30 mph and shears herself to pieces, but hopefully the trof kicks in before that. She is already getting a SW to NE look to her, leaving me to believe that a slight move to the north is not that far away.