MikeCAdministrator
(Admin)
Wed Aug 04 2004 10:26 PM
Alex Strengthens while TD#2 Finally Falls Apart

10:30PM Update
Alex is the first Major Hurricane of the season, safely away from lland, but at an impressive 120MPH it's not a Category 3 storm.

Former Tropical Depresison... Persistance is the key. Will it slow down and reorganize or fall apart? This weakening could alow is to slip under. But I still don't see much for it.

Original Update
Alex still has a great deal of life in after brushing Cape Hatteras, it's moving away from us, but it's restrenghtened to its strongest yet, with 105MPH maximum sustained winds. As a hurricane, Alex won't be bothering any more folks on land however. It got a little intense on the Outer Banks for sure.



And our super speed depression down in the Caribbean has fallen apart, and is now in the eastern Caribbean "Hurricane Graveyard". The forward speed of the depression was too great, and its so enlongated and disorganized, i don't see any chance of a recovery for it as it stands now. Persistance is the key, and it has stayed persistantly disorganized. The remains will be something to look at for a while though. My bet, nothing comes of it.

General Links
Current Aircraft Recon Info

NRL Monterey Marine Meteorology Division Forecast Track of Active Systems (Good Forecast Track Graphic and Satellite Photos)

Check the Storm Forum from time to time for comments on any new developing system.

Follow worldwide SST evolution here:

Global SST Animation

NASA GHCC Interactive Satellite images at:

North Atlantic Visible (Daytime Only), Infrared, Water Vapor
LSU Sat images

Some forecast models:
NGM, AVN, MRF, ETA ECMWF
AVN, CMC, GFDL, JMA, NOGAPS, UKMET

DoD Weather Models (NOGAPS, AVN, MRF)

Multi-model plots from WREL

Other commentary at Independentwx.com, Robert Lightbown/Crown Weather Tropical Update Accuweather's Joe Bastardi (now subcriber only unfortunately), Hurricane Alley North Atlantic Page, Cyclomax (Rich B.), Hurricane City , mpittweather , Gary Gray's Millennium Weather, storm2k, Barometer Bob's Hurricane Hollow, Snonut,
Even more on the links page.



Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center