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I'll admit anything could happen at this point. But look at the current WV loop, right now what-was-TD2 is only getting some shear on the leading edge. In fact, it is taking up the entire eastern Caribbean Sea from SA to PR (you can see its effects on PR radar). That is not some wimpy wave that is going to fizzle. If it does not develop and isn't pulled northward by the trough, then the shear in the western Caribbean will probably tear it up, but I don't think it will ever get that far west. Bill |