danielwAdministrator
(Moderator)
Thu Aug 05 2004 01:40 AM
Re: What's up with the forecast?

WHXX01 KWBC 050212
CHGHUR

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES.

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NORTH ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO (AL022004) ON 20040805 0000 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
040805 0000 040805 1200 040806 0000 040806 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 13.6N 65.0W 14.5N 67.5W 15.4N 69.6W 16.3N 71.5W
BAMM 13.6N 65.0W 14.5N 68.3W 15.5N 71.1W 16.4N 73.6W
A98E 13.6N 65.0W 14.1N 67.8W 14.9N 70.4W 15.8N 72.5W

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
040807 0000 040808 0000 040809 0000 040810 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 16.9N 73.3W 18.2N 78.1W 19.5N 83.8W 20.2N 89.7W
BAMM 17.5N 75.6W 19.9N 79.1W 22.4N 82.7W 24.2N 85.4W
A98E 16.6N 74.4W 18.8N 78.1W 21.3N 81.8W 24.2N 85.4W

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 13.6N LONCUR = 65.0W DIRCUR = 275DEG SPDCUR = 15KT
LATM12 = 13.6N LONM12 = 61.6W DIRM12 = 269DEG SPDM12 = 19KT
LATM24 = 13.5N LONM24 = 57.4W
WNDCUR = 30KT RMAXWD = 40NM WNDM12 = 30KT
CENPRS = 1011MB OUTPRS = 1013MB OUTRAD = 75NM SDEPTH = M
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/data/WBC/CHGHUR.0408050216