No circulation on 91L unless it is under the deep convection (where it should be); does seem to be going more wnw to NW, it may clip Haiti on current course. Strong possibility of regeneration, depending to some degree on future course.

92L---it looks like a depression already, although small and lacking convection. If the environment will leave it alone, it will be upgraded to depression status at the earliest by 5pm, and latest tomorrow morning.

Alex being a major should amplify the ridge, 92L will likely go more west than previously predicted; 91L also.

Alex turn southward?...it has happened before!! Especially if the ridge amplifies (it is on top of the ridge, remember!)

sc

Watch the Gulf this weekend too..

ps---El Nino is on the way back...see these links:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gifs/pac_anom.gif

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/index.html

What will this do to this season?...hmm...possible truncate it...but, El Nino years where it develops late or partially, sometimes produce strong bursts of activity in Aug and September, but after that it trails off quickly. So---we have 1.5 good months for sure it seems.....

Could be quiet in October and Nov due to this.....may also account for the 'struggling nature' of storms we have seen so far---however, they can overcome the struggle ala Alex--especially at higher latitudes. New England and Maritimes--watch out!