I don't argue with that but I also think the GFDL is factoring in another cold front that is due in the northern GOM by Thursday, and will shunt the system off to the NE, as fronts are expected to do.

The question that begs to be asked... where will it ultimately go the farther west it goes???... its already past west and south of where the GFDL had it initialized... so that model is crap... I'm not saying it will not go to Fl, I'm just saying the more it goes west, the more it could affect the models and where it ends up... and as we all know they will change with each passing update....