Unregistered User
(Unregistered)
Mon Aug 09 2004 05:09 PM
Re: Somebody had to do it...

Melbourne NWS showing some concern over TD #3:

FRI-MON...GLOBAL MODELS IN EXCELLENT AGREEMENT WITH THE LONG WAVE
PATTERN...SHOWING ANOTHER UNUSALLY HIGH AMPLITUDE BUCKLING OF THE
LONG WAVE PATTERN. STRONG TROUGH DIGS INTO THE ERN CONUS...WITH
ANOTHER FRONTAL BOUNDARY PUSHING WELL SOUTH TWD THE GULF COAST AND
SERN STATES...AND VERY MOIST S-SW FLOW DEVELOPING ACROSS FL THRU
FRI...THEN PERHAPS BACKING MORE TO SE BY THE WEEKEND AS THE TROUGH
BEGINS TO LIFT OUT. DIFF BTWN THIS TROUGH AND THE LAST IN THAT THE
DIGGING WILL OCCUR AROUND 85W AS OPPOSED TO ~75W BY ITS PREDECESSOR
...RESULTING IN STRONG ATLC RIDGE EAST OF THE ERN CONUS AND POSSIBLY
LITTLE WWD EXTENSION OF THE SUBTROP PORTION OF THE RIDGE W OF FL.
T.D. #3...CURRENTLY MOVING THROUGH THE WINDWARD ISLANDS SHOULD BEGIN
TO FEEL SOME WEAKNESS TO IT'S NORTH ONCE IT CROSSES 80W OR SO AND
START TO GAIN LATITUDE. TO WHAT EXTENT AND AT WHICH LONGITDUE THIS
OCCURS REMAIN TO BE SEEN - BUT BEING THIS IS A RATHER LARGE SYSTEM
...WE'LL NEED TO KEEP CLOSE TABS ON ITS PROGRESS. AS MENTIONED ABOVE
...REFER TO THE NHC/TAFB PRODUCTS FOR ADDITIONAL DISCUSSIONS. HAVE
BASICALLY KEPT 40 POPS WHICH GIVES US WIGGLE ROOM...ALONG WITH THE
CAVEAT THAT THERE IS A GOOD BIT OF UNCERTAINTY WITH THIS PARTICULAR
XTD FCST.