Hey guys,
looks like we are making up for two months of non-activity now doesnt it!

Heres my take on our two new systems:

Tropical Storm Bonnie - a small and potentially fragile system. A tight inner core and small convective envelope... reminds me a little of a rather infamous 1992 Hurricane

Think this system stands a good chance of becomming a major player in the Gulf, especially if it can withstand the dry air for the next 24 - 48 hrs (per NHC Discussion). My initial guess on landfall and intensity, if it holds, is somewhere between Mobile and Pensacola, probably as a Cat 1 Hurricane.

Tropical Depression Three - think this has a good shot at becoming Charley in the next 12 hours. Well organised, and in a favourable area at present. No immediate threat, but down the road it looks like it may have Cuba in its sights. Further on, it seems as if maybe the Gulf will get a double whammy.

Will post more soon.

Kind regards