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Oh yeah, I forgot there's a game tonight! Anyhow, don't say Charlie yet bobbi, there's still no true CDO, and the thing in theory could collapse, but I doubt it since it has not waned too much since last night. As far as track, it should be gaining latitude during the next two days (WNW) but when it feels the effects of the long wave trough will make things interesting. The first thing it will do is slow its forward motion, then begin to bend to the right. Due to its current forward speed its possible it could make it into the eastern GOM before making a turn; or maybe not, which might put the Fl peninsula in harms way. If it slows enuf it could end up going north through the Bahamas and out (least likely IMO). If it doesn't strengthen per the models it could continue west. But the setup for this trough is further west than the previous one which cut into the Bahamas. And the nosing ridge from the western Atlantic makes the setup even more interesting. But we need a Charley first. Any way you slice it, the GOM and the SE is gonna get wet. Eyes East and West |