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Hmmmmmmmmmmmmm!!!! It looks like are tropical wave is going to be upgraded to a tropical storm at the 5am. 000 WHXX01 KWBC 100649 CHGHUR DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NORTH ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL STORM THREE (AL032004) ON 20040810 0600 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS... 040810 0600 040810 1800 040811 0600 040811 1800 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMD 12.7N 65.3W 13.8N 68.9W 14.8N 72.0W 15.7N 74.8W BAMM 12.7N 65.3W 13.9N 68.9W 14.9N 72.0W 16.0N 74.7W A98E 12.7N 65.3W 13.7N 69.3W 14.5N 72.9W 15.1N 76.2W LBAR 12.7N 65.3W 13.8N 68.9W 14.9N 72.4W 15.8N 75.6W SHIP 35KTS 44KTS 53KTS 61KTS DSHP 35KTS 44KTS 53KTS 61KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS... 040812 0600 040813 0600 040814 0600 040815 0600 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMD 16.5N 77.1W 18.2N 81.6W 20.7N 85.0W 23.5N 86.9W BAMM 16.9N 77.2W 18.7N 81.8W 21.3N 85.0W 24.6N 86.5W A98E 15.6N 79.1W 17.0N 83.7W 18.7N 87.4W 20.6N 90.4W LBAR 16.8N 78.6W 19.0N 83.2W 23.2N 85.4W 28.9N 84.8W SHIP 70KTS 86KTS 97KTS 101KTS DSHP 70KTS 86KTS 97KTS 101KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 12.7N LONCUR = 65.3W DIRCUR = 285DEG SPDCUR = 21KT LATM12 = 11.7N LONM12 = 61.1W DIRM12 = 282DEG SPDM12 = 20KT LATM24 = 11.2N LONM24 = 57.3W WNDCUR = 35KT RMAXWD = 25NM WNDM12 = 30KT CENPRS = 1007MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD = 125NM SDEPTH = D RD34NE = 50NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 50NM I think this system is going to become a very powerful hurricane, with a better then fair chance of making landfall in the United states. |