Lois:
Very small storm; not a lot of convection to work with; rapidly approaching trough and upper wind shear that could reduce convection, or cause the llc to shift east away from the convection ahead of the trough. We have seen this in several gulf systems in the past, most notably for me was the system that actually made land fall in Sarasota County in Sept 2002(Josephine?) which had characteristics like I described...That system was border lin cat I and rapidly ducked ene ahead of a front..had very little weather on the west side but very strong winds on that side due to the transfer of upper level winds down into the system as it interacted with the trough. this could happen to this one too.
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