Not a bad synopsis Scott. I see the center at just about 15N....but heading at like 290? The model initializations have to be too far south. He's moving at a good clip though. Wonder when he will really slow down. I could see this crossing the peninsula at like Sarasota, but if its moving that fast it will make more ehadway into the GOM. If it gonna hit Florida south/central it would have to slow down tomorrow morning. If not, could be in the big bend. But its not going to avoid the trough.