AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
900 PM EDT TUE AUG 10 2004

.SYNOPSIS...
WEAKENING BOUNDARY OVER THE CWA...COMBINED WITH SOME UPPER LEVEL
ENERGY...WEAK SURFACE LOW & IN-PLACE MOISTURE...HAVE CONTINUED
CONVECTION INTO THE EVENING HOURS. EXPECT ON-GOING CONVECTION TO
PUSH EAST & GRADUALLY WEAKEN...AS ENERGY PUSHES EAST. MODELS
CONTINUE SOME LIFT OVERNIGHT ACROSS CWA...& CURRENT FORECAST HAS
CHANCE POPS. SURFACE LOW WILL LIFT E-NE ON WEDNESDAY WITH A WEAK
SURFACE TROUGH LYING OVER THE CWA. THEN THE INFLUENCE OF BONNIE WILL
SPREAD TROPICAL MOISTURE NE AS THE UPPER TROUGH SETTLES A BIT
FARTHER OVER THE SE U.S. & LIFTS BONNIE NE TOWARD N FL. PLENTY OF
ENERGY INDICATED IN THE MEAN FLOW...SO LIKELY TO CATEGORICAL POPS
WILL BE FORECAST WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. WILL ALLOW FLOOD WATCH
TO EXPIRE AT 2 AM EDT...BUT WILL PROBABLY BE RE-ISSUED FOR ALL CWA
WEDNESDAY MORNING AS THE INFLUENCE OF BONNIE'S RAIN AFFECT CWA. EXPECT HURRICANE WATCHES OR WARNINGS BY WEDNESDAY MORNING
. COASTAL
FORECAST HAS SOME SWELLS INDICATED AT KPFN BUOY...SO WILL UP SEAS A
BIT FOR OVERNIGHT.