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Well looking over 00z model runs looks as though not much has changed. The 5 pm NHC track is on the western edge of model guidence. I would like to see run to run considency, but this maybe a start, they are clustered fairly tight now. Expect a possible slight adjustment to east on latter period of forecast. Not giving up on Bonnie and would expect some come back tomorrow as conditions improve but may worsen closer to landfall as winds race from west and wnw. |