No, you're correct. But the track has not changed dramatically to the west; the models are not predicting a large shift to the west, nor is the NHC. Notice that only the western part of Cuba has watches/warnings up.

As for Bonnie, the thinking now is she might just get shoved more E/NE than NE.

I'm sorry Steve, I just don't see what you're seeing. This track has been the same (or slightly more east or west) for almost 3 advisories, and the NHC is pretty darned good at calling these landfalling areas.

I think everyone should read the Hazardous Weather Statement for West Central Florida. I think it will tell you a lot, and that was the 8:00am statement.