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I can say for sure that NHC has seen the 12z globals and track models...but the difference, while it does exist, isn't enough to cause a change in forecast thinking or track. Folks in the Panhandle and aware for either or both storms, judging from what I have seen. It is a less daunting to evacuate the Panhandle area than the Tampa area...I think the NHC is making an entirely proper call here. There is nothing YET (emphasis on YET) that would have me move the track in any direction. When we get the 18 and especially the 00z runs, then we look long and hard at it. |