Seems to be some server hiccups today - haven't been able to get around recently.

Charley's a hurricane now and Bonnie's up to 65mph. If Bonnie's center consolidates under the deep convection - a big if, mind you - it could strengthen some more. I tend to think it will remain on the NW edge of the convection, however, limiting it's strengthening potential. I think the window is going to close in 6-12hr.

12z FSU Superensemble run on both storms was near Panama City still for Bonnie, getting to about 60mph (which was relatively high amongst the models), with Charley approaching cat 2/3 status in a couple of days with ultimate landfall near Sarasota, on the left end of the 12z track ensemble.

UKMet 12z is out to lunch with Bonnie - it's not diving east and hitting Tampa. It's also out to lunch with Charlie - it's not moving into the central Gulf, it doesn't seem - but stranger things have happened.

I'll be heading down to the coast this evening to catch Bonnie as she comes ashore. I have a friend taking two broadcast-quality high-definition cameras along for the ride; I'll have some met. equipment to try and take obs. No Internet access while I'm gone, but I hope to have pictures, obs, and video shortly after getting back. Still holding to my guns of Laguna Beach, I think, but want to drop along the coast if at all possible.

Cantore & Morrow are going to the Tampa area for Charley; Mike Seidel is moving to Panama City for Bonnie.