"Constant motion not fluxuations.
We are in for the long haul."-Bobbi

Can't the stress the importance of this enough. I believe that NHC uses satellite fixes that are several hours in length before determining motion.

When making a forecast, biting too hard on what could turn out to be a short-term trend can ruin your forecast. With that being said, the new models have shifted to the west, now indicating more of a northern FP landfall.