|
|
|||||||
THE UPPER-LOW TO THE WEST OF CHARLEY CONTINUES TO MOVE WESTWARD AWAY FROM THE HURRICANE...WHICH IS LESSENING THE SHEAR. SINCE THE CENTRAL CORE DEEP CONVECTION AND OUTFLOW HAS IMPROVED...AND THERE IS AN ABUNDANCE OF WARMER WATER AHEAD...CHARLEY SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AND COULD POSSIBLY REACH MAJOR HURRICANE STRENGTH BEFORE IT REACHES WESTERN CUBA. AFTER PASSING OVER CUBA...THE INTENSITY MAY DROP SLIGHTLY...BUT RE-STRENGTHENING APPEARS LIKELY AS THE SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN LOW ALMOST UP UNTIL LANDFALL OCCURS. THERE IS A DISTINCT POSSIBILITY THAT CHARLEY COULD BE NEAR MAJOR HURRICANE STRENGTH WHEN IT MAKES LANDFALL ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST...ESPECIALLY IF IT MAKES LANDFALL FROM THE TAMPA BAY AREA AND SOUTHWARD WHERE THE VERTICAL SHEAR WILL BE LESS. |