Hurricane Charley Forecast/Advisory Number 14

Statement as of 21:00Z on August 12, 2004

at 5 PM EDT...2100z...the Hurricane Warning has been extended
northward along the Florida West Coast to Bayport. A Hurricane
Warning is now in effect for the Florida Keys from the Dry Tortugas
to the Seven Mile Bridge...and for the Florida West Coast from East
Cape Sable northward to Bayport. The warning will likely be
extended northward later tonight. A Hurricane Warning means that
hurricane conditions are expected within the warning area during
the next 24 hours. Preparations should be rushed to completion.

The Hurricane Watch remains in effect for the Florida West Coast
from north of Bayport northward to the Suwannee river. A Hurricane
Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch
area...generally within 36 hours.

A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect for the Florida Keys from
the Seven Mile Bridge to Ocean Reef...and along the South Florida
Mainland from Ocean Reef to East Cape Sable...including all of
Florida Bay. At 5 PM EDT...a tropical storm watch has been issued
for portions of the Florida and Georgia coasts from Jupiter Inlet
northward to Altamaha Sound...including Lake Okeechobee.

A Hurricane Warning remains in effect for the following provinces of
western Cuba...Pinar del Rio...la Habana...Ciudad de la Habana...
Matanzas...and the Isle of Youth. At 5 PM...the government of the
Cayman Islands has discontinued all warnings.

Hurricane center located near 21.2n 81.9w at 12/2100z
position accurate within 15 nm

present movement toward the north-northwest or 335 degrees at 16 kt

estimated minimum central pressure 980 mb
eye diameter 15 nm
Max sustained winds 90 kt with gusts to 110 kt.
64 kt....... 25ne 20se 10sw 20nw.
50 kt....... 60ne 50se 20sw 40nw.
34 kt.......110ne 100se 40sw 90nw.
12 ft seas..200ne 140se 60sw 200nw.
Winds and seas vary greatly in each quadrant. Radii in nautical
miles are the largest radii expected anywhere in that quadrant

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