I would not go scrapping the now laid ideas of the NHC for an apparent N jog.This might be occurring for simple reason possibly of the interaction with land.I tend to think of these systems as mass because they are.In fluids you treat the atmosphere as a fluid and everything has mass and some coefficient of friction.Charley over the last three hrs. has slowed down to 12mph at this rate yea could turn but I would wait till it got to the other side to post judgement.The NHC I would have to say has had a good handle on this one.Have to give them an A up to this point.