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11 PM Update Danielle is now a hurricane with sustained winds of 65 knots. It is somewhat uncommon for a tropical cyclone to reach hurricane strength on or east of 30W. Danielle is moving to the west northwest and a more northwestward motion is expected. At the moment it looks like Danielle will remain at sea during its lifetime. Tropical Storm Earl continues to move west northwest at 20mph and this motion should continue for several days. Note the following from NHC: A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BARBADOS...ST. VINCENT...THE GRENADINES...TRINIDAD...TOBAGO...GRENADA AND ITS DEPENDENCIES...AND ST. LUCIA. Earl should continue to intensify and reach hurricane strength on Monday. Tropical Storm Charley Continues to swiftly move northeastward off of the New Jersey coast and should reach Long Island around sunrise on its way to the Boston area. Charley will soon transition to an extratropical system. ED Original Post Earl is of most concern to Florida over the next few days. Are you ready to possibly go through this again this coming weekend? Tropical storm Earl will likely be classified at 5PM and move toward Jamaica and then Cuba. Charley is moving through NC/Virginia and quickly toward the northeast as a much much weaker system. We'll be watching as we recover from Charley. More to Come Later. Damage Photos from New Smyrna Beach area taken by Mike C. Event RelatedLinks Hurricane City is having live audio and video broadcasts throughout the day on Bonnie/Charley and Jim's Audio show is from 8PM to 11PM EST All model "Spaghetti" for Earl from hurricanealley Another Multi-Model Track plot for Earl Damage Photos from New Smyrna Beach area taken by Mike C. General Links Current Aircraft Recon Info NRL Monterey Marine Meteorology Division Forecast Track of Active Systems (Good Forecast Track Graphic and Satellite Photos) Check the Storm Forum from time to time for comments on any new developing system. Follow worldwide SST evolution here: Global SST Animation NASA GHCC Interactive Satellite images at: North Atlantic Visible (Daytime Only), Infrared, Water Vapor LSU Sat images Some forecast models: NGM, AVN, MRF, ETA ECMWF AVN, CMC, GFDL, JMA, NOGAPS, UKMET DoD Weather Models (NOGAPS, AVN, MRF) Multi-model plots from WREL Other commentary at Independentwx.com, Robert Lightbown/Crown Weather Tropical Update Accuweather's Joe Bastardi (now subcriber only unfortunately), Hurricane Alley North Atlantic Page, Cyclomax (Rich B.), Hurricane City , mpittweather , Gary Gray's Millennium Weather, storm2k, Barometer Bob's Hurricane Hollow, Snonut, Even more on the links page. |