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danielle is going slowly as the ridge to the north is decaying.. the low level easterlies are pushing subsequent waves close enough to danielle's envelope that they have less chance of developing early. have to watch the next wave as globals favor the one coming off on tuesday.. not developing it quickly like danielle did and tracking it to near the northern islands by next weekend. ridge should be intact in danielle's wake.. i'm sure cycloneye is entertaining thoughts on this one. just read the 11am on earl.. west at 28mph. regardless of how good it looks.. if this one doesn't apply some brakes it's going to check it's own development and stay left. of course if it's a hurricane by tuesday afternoon it'll end up in the gulf. HF 1611z15august |