those are some interesting obs. makes me wonder if the center is jumping around. uncertainty with the system.. it's racing and poorly organized, but showing signs of the ability to make a solid intensity jump. trend is for organization, but that speed is going to undo a lot of work the center is doing to get organized. i was betting right of guidance on the challenge the other night (ed posted one late on earl.. open until midnight tonight).. still a chance i'll land something. as far as westward progression.. it keeps speeding up.. gonna bust there.
HF 1620z15august