I agree with HF's take on 96L (future Frances), looking at the gfs models, if you believe those models, takes the storm north of the islands, but then may get caught under some east coast ridging east of the Bahamas by day 11 (Sept 3rd), and probably continuing to move in the general direction of the east coast of the U.S. Think a 11 day forecast out is pretty unreliable, but lets see what happens, first of all it does have to develop, and then we'll see the model runs for it. Here's a link to the 11 day out "fantasyland" forecast of the gfs:
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/carib/gfs/18/images/gfs_85v_264m.gif