LI Phil
(User)
Tue Aug 24 2004 04:52 PM
Re: 96L very close to being a TD-not at 5:00

Doesn't look like we'll have TD6 at 5:00...I'd also be surprised if we have one by 11:00 either. I do see this developing into a hurricane, but very slowly. By Thursday we may see a marked intensification, but for now, status quo. Taking it's sweet time and waiting for the perfect moment to explode. Be very interested to see how this one plays out.

Waves are JUST STACKED up off Africa...this could be a very active end to the month/beginning of September. Just what we don't need. I don't see the future Frances spinning the fishes...not even giving it 50/50.

>>> This season has thus far seemed to be very "troffy"; I doubt it will make it to the islands. As the season progresses the trofs will only become more common in the central and western Atlantic

Fled, is this based on sound meterological reasoning or just a gut feel...either way it's OK, was just wondering on what you are basing that statement. The TUTT will definitely be making a impact -- assisting with development but also possible recurvature. How deep and how strong remains to be seen. I don't see much affecting 96L because it's still really too weak to be affected by such things...and it's almost to 40W. Not a good sign.

Still sick, but back to work tomorrow. Keep your eye on the sparrow...



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