there are three scenarios for this as far as I am concerned:
1) the shear will persist and likely push the storm to the north, towards the Southeast with a similar track to Fran in 1996--note how it turned north near the islands, then turned back to the west
2)slightly less likely, the shear will move westward at the same rate as Frances, and will enhance the outflow and allow it to move west and intensify, with a track similar or to the south of Allen in 1980, but again, nowhere near the intensity.
3) least likely (right now, anyways) is that the shear will blow this system apart much like it did to TD2 and Earl in the eastern Caribbean