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I've been looking at the models and the the GFS seems to be taking this hurricane to the direction of Galveston or a little more south. The GFS seems to be on target this year and works well with systems in the general area of where Tropical Storm Frances is, (ex. Andrew). If Tropical Storm Frances does remain south of the ridge axis, it will continue, westward, and maybe inflict an area on the Gulf States as something weak or maybe mainly because of the shear in the carabiean area. That's my scenario for this storm. |