Just yesterday the models had Frances going to Galveston area, now where taking a more northerly track as was excepted. My thoughts on this system, is that it will hit the carolinas (most likely outer banks area) as a CAT.2 and take it self up to the northeast and impacting LI as a Tropical Storm or Tropical Depression. But this track could change depending on when the next cold front comes through. The other system, I'm not so sure about. As Hank Frank said before, it all matters on how it can do in the day if it wants to survive. This may become another system but I'm to sure, my confindence is low.