It is worthy to note that the very preceding run of the AVN had it impacting the SE coast of Florida with landfall in 13 days - the same length of time as that model goes out to...so don't put really any faith in that solution.

Of note, however, is that the 12z GFDL (may not be publicly out yet) brings Francis to 147mph in 5 days. A couple of the proprietary models we have here are the strongest of them all (not incl. the GFDL). It should also be noted that the track forecast continues to bend to the left ever-so-slightly. There are some bad analogs for this storm...but we'll see how it all plays out.