Well the models are starting to get into some agreement over a track for Frances. I still think the NHC forecast is a bit north of where it might be. I am sticking to 60W before 20N. NHC track has it crossing 20N at around 57-58W. Really, it matters little, because in that timeframe, Frances will certainly shift back nearly due west as she will not be able to make any poleward progress after 96 hours. This is going to be a sticky situation for the US. Unfourtuantely, Frances will make a US landfall.
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Re: Frances deepening, closer concerns