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My local chapter of the AMS featured one of the preeminant experts in tropical meteorology speaking tonight, Dr. T.N. Krirshnamurti (he of the FSU Superensemble, among many other things). The five day forecast is basically the same as the NHC's official forecast...by the NHC's doing, not FSU's...and his "subjective" forecast is for landfall in the 8-9 day time frame in the Carolinas. Take it for what it's worth. |