OK, Roberta, I'll speed up the schedule...10 days, from whence I originally posted, would be next Saturday...lets compromise and make it 8 days. That's next Friday early morning, or late Thursday. I don't think Frances landfalls until Labor Day. That's when we can, with confidence approaching 75%, predict a landfall. If you want my best guess...right now...gotta go with Hattaras...poor piece of land sticks out like a sore thumb into the Atl. But then, I could say in January we'll get a Hattaras hit, and I'd have been correct three times already...

Lets say we "only have" five days...which we don't, I couldn't tell you whether this is a Miami or Portland (ME) hit. All I'm saying is that the whole eastern seaboard needs to watch this, but at 10 days out (my call), we'll know within 200 miles north or south, the expected landfall. If she's faster, then she's faster... I just know my CV storms, and that's my time frame.

If it's a Hattaras hit, I don't want any credit for the call, just as I don't want any grief if it tracks into the GOM...ATTM.

All I'm saying, again, is that anyone with interests on the East Coast should carefully monitor Frances' progress.