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One more thing for the backburner. I didn't check the forum to see if anyone had posted it, but here's the August update for 5 and 8 month lead times on El Nino. 6 of 11 models have trended warm for winter (other 5 are neutral), but are unanimously neutral in 8 (April 2005). Could 2005 be shaping up to be another mixed-signal year (2002, 2003, 2004...)? August ENSO Model Output Steve |