danielwAdministrator
(Moderator)
Fri Aug 27 2004 12:45 PM
Re: A98E

I have been following all the text model output since this storm was recognized. A98E and LBAR were nearly flawless in either the correct lat or long or both. Usually within 0.3 degrees on the latitude! This will make A98E an outlier, for the next several hours. Unless it continues the trend.

Outlier continues, but the other direction now!
29/1200z 18.7N/ 56.2W
30/1200z 21.2N/ 61.2W
31/1200z 23.6N/ 66.3W
01/1200z 27.1N/ 71.0W
**These are model parameters only. Not necessarily forecast tracks**
27.1 and 71.0 would put the storm around 670 miles East of Jupiter Inlet.
**Again, this model. A98E, is the Only model showing this movement. The other models are going No further North than 20.1N and no further West than 71.3W**
I am wondering if the wrong data got entered. Computers don't make mistakes, people do!



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