Kal
(Weather Hobbyist)
Fri Aug 27 2004 06:32 PM
Re: JB Midday Missive

Actually, "I have a bad feeling about this" was exclaimed by...

Luke in Episode IV when he sees the Death Star for the first time,
Han in Episode IV inside the trash compactor...
Leia in Episode V inside the space-slug cave...
And Obi Wan in Episode I at some point I believe...

Onto the point at hand though. While it's far too soon to know exactly where in the CONUS we might see problems from these developing systems, it doesn't take a doctorate in meteorology to see that we have some potential scenarios that could spell Trouble with a captiol "T" for a lot of folks. I can see why some are getting bad vibes at the moment.

It's true that residents of the South Carolina "Low Country" and the "Coastal Empire" of Southeast Georgia have lived a charmed life for many years. They haven't had a direct hit since David in 1979, and that was only a Cat 1. I can tell you from personal experience as a former resident of that area that far too many people think they are somehow immune to major hits. The last minute turn of Hugo started this. The debacle that was the Floyd evacuation worsened the situation, prompting many to say they'll ignore advisories and avoid the "inconvenience" of the next evacuation, because the storms always turn north. If they'd take a look at local weather history for the past 200 years, and flood potential maps for the area, they'd be singing a different tune. Sorry to rant about one particular geographic area, but I'm convinced that a direct hit to that area will catch far too many off-guard.



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