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Tropical Depression #7 has formed off the coast of South Carolina, and is expected to move inland and be a rain event. It's not expected to strengthen much, but it depends on how long it remains over the water. Therefore Tropical Storm watches are up from Surf City in North Carolina to Fernandina Beach in Florida. Frances is still moving along, and will be something to watch here in the US as the Labor Day weekend approaches. Right now it's forecast to continue to be in a favorible area for strengthening, and has a chance to become at Category 5 over water at some point. (Note I don't suggest that it will near any land as this) In any case Frances is looking very impressive on satellite. More to come. General Links NRL Monterey Marine Meteorology Division Forecast Track of Active Systems (Good Forecast Track Graphic and Satellite Photos) Check the Storm Forum from time to time for comments on any new developing system. Follow worldwide SST evolution here: Global SST Animation NASA GHCC Interactive Satellite images at: North Atlantic Visible (Daytime Only), Infrared, Water Vapor LSU Sat images Some forecast models: NGM, AVN, MRF, ETA ECMWF AVN, CMC, GFDL, JMA, NOGAPS, UKMET DoD Weather Models (NOGAPS, AVN, MRF) Multi-model plots from WREL Other commentary at Independentwx.com, Robert Lightbown/Crown Weather Tropical Update Accuweather's Joe Bastardi (now subcriber only unfortunately), Hurricane Alley North Atlantic Page, Cyclomax (Rich B.), Hurricane City , mpittweather , Gary Gray's Millennium Weather, storm2k, Barometer Bob's Hurricane Hollow, Snonut, Even more on the links page. |