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MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH BUILDING UPPER HIGH OVER THE ATLC AND BENDING POWERFUL HURRICANE FRANCES MORE TO THE WEST. AT THIS TIME IT APPEARS SHE WILL PASS NORTH OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO...AND APPROACH THE SE BAHAMAS THU. THERE IS A CHANCE THAT FRANCES COULD RECURVE...IF IT FINDS ENOUGH WEAKNESSES IN THE RIDGE BUILDING NORTH OF IT. BY EXTRAPOLATING THE NHC DAY 5 POSITION...HAVE DECIDED TO SHOW GRADUALLY INCREASING NE TO E WINDS FRI...BECOMING WINDY SAT. |