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Looks like Claudette did last year on satellite image and that we may have another post-analysis upgrade to a hurricane like with Claudette in the Caribbean last year, as well as Erika Gaston Frances appears to be feeling the affects of southerly shear, which may keep it from developing further for a few days; the eyewall is starting to look a bit ragged compared to hours ago Frances 98L could be a TD later today, as convection has again fired up around the center anyone else's thoughts on this one? 98L note the LLC at the northern part of the convection probably will be a TD at 5pm, likely (if ever a TS) no more than 40-50 mph also, here are some forecasts: AVN predicting that Frances will likely head towards the Keys in about 6 days, and that there will be a TS at about 30W at that time GFDL is forecasting Frances to brush the northern Antilles in about 48 hours and be about 250 miles east of Cape Canaveral in about 5 days moving NNW UKMET is forecasting Frances to hit the Keys in about 5 days and move up the west coast of Florida after that |