Frank P
(Veteran Storm Chaser)
Sun Aug 29 2004 09:13 PM
Frances 5 pm Discussion

Per NHC.....

Latest model runs are gradually shifting the track a
little more the north at the end of the forecast period. That
includes both the GFS and the UK models which previously brough the
hurricane to near the Florida Keys or South Florida. These models
are still bringing the hurricane very close to Florida but at a
higher latitude. The official forecast remains unchanged and is
very close to the global model consensus. The next global model
runs will take advantage of data gather from the GPS dropsondes to
be launch from the NOAA high altitude jet. We will carefully
monitor the impact on these new observations in tonight's runs.........

Interesting to see how and if the models might change with the new data.....



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