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Per NHC..... Latest model runs are gradually shifting the track a little more the north at the end of the forecast period. That includes both the GFS and the UK models which previously brough the hurricane to near the Florida Keys or South Florida. These models are still bringing the hurricane very close to Florida but at a higher latitude. The official forecast remains unchanged and is very close to the global model consensus. The next global model runs will take advantage of data gather from the GPS dropsondes to be launch from the NOAA high altitude jet. We will carefully monitor the impact on these new observations in tonight's runs......... Interesting to see how and if the models might change with the new data..... |