BillD
(User)
Mon Aug 30 2004 12:31 AM
Re: Frances' Wobbles

That's why we call them wobbles... track overall is almost due west.

There is no real reason for this storm not to maintain high cat3 or even cat4 status. There is minimal shear and lots of warm water ahead of it. However some models do predict a reduction in strength before landfall, it isn't clear what would cause that. Gary Gray discusses this in his recent forecast, an interesting read.

Bill



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