| Ricreig |
| (User) |
| Sun Aug 29 2004 08:39 PM |
|
Re: Frances' Wobbles
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Quote:While it is wobbling, it has also grown much bigger: From the NHC:
That's why we call them wobbles... track overall is almost due west.
There is no real reason for this storm not to maintain high cat3 or even cat4 status. There is minimal shear and lots of warm water ahead of it. However some models do predict a reduction in strength before landfall, it isn't clear what would cause that. Gary Gray discusses this in his recent forecast, an interesting read.
Bill
[QUOTE]Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 85 miles... 140 km...
from the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up
to 125 miles...204 km.[/QUOTE]
Shoot, there are places where the entire state of Florida isn't much wider than that. This storm remains powerful and now is also LARGE.