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Keep in mind folks that Frances is over a 1000 miles away from the Florida coast. Still lots of time for things to change. Frances winds are at 125 as read from the plane, and has encountered some shear. I wouldn't be surprised if she weakens a bit. But once she rounds the base of the ridge I expect here to intensify again, as shear should abate UL conditions should improve, and SSTs are 29 -30 degrees C. By Wednesday we should have a better idea on where she's going. No need to panic! she's a slow mover now. But as the ridge strengthens aas Gaston and Hermine evacuate to the NNE, Frances' Forward speed should pick up again. |