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Don't feel too good just yet. There is a large margin of error on a 5 day forecast track sometimes. However, the thing that I always keep in mind is that historicly at least, the majority of storms taking the Francis path do curve to the North. Andrew being the most memorable exception. So, you have to watch and prepare. I fear GOM storms that cross the state like Charley much more than Atlantic storms. But, I keep an eye on them just the same.
I agree. While it is by no means determined that Frances will NOT cross the state similarly to Charley, and that it is coming from the other side, you should remember that when it made it across the state (Charley), it was still a hurricane, and still CAT II when it hit Orlando a hundred or so miles away from landfall. If Frances were to come in as originally stated by the MLB wx office, near Jupiter inlet, it would likely exit near your fine town of Tampa, and probably would get your attention in a most negative way. I'm glad you're keeping watch still. It is too early for any of us to be too relieved.
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