I was comparing the season to 1969 back in June and July, and said that this year, although likely to be active, would not be nearly as active as '69

16 is the highest i have ever forecast in the last 8 years of doing the seasonals, and that could be a little low

since 1998 we have averaged 9-10 storms after August

We are very likely to see Ivan form by the end of tomorrow

this is not a forecast, but it is entirely possible that if the active trend continues, we could very well reach the activity of even 1995, and if September is as active as August, we could reach the end of the name list (Sep as active as August would be 18, add a few in October, we could easily reach "w")

if anyone is interested, here are my other seven annual (and very inaccurate) forecasts
previous on left, actual on right
1997: 12 7
1998: 8 14
1999: 8 12
2000: 7 14
2001: 10 15
2002: 7 12
2003: 11 16

2004: 16 19+?